Thought Leadership Archive

Common Cents Blog

Are Tariffs Tarrible or Tarrific?

Perhaps not surprisingly, I have gotten a lot of questions this week about what impact Donald Trump’s enormous wish list will have on the economy. More specifically, folks seem to be pretty worried about the impact…

Macro & Market Perspectives

2024: A Year in Review

The year 2024 was another strong year for performance, even though we started to see signs of strain. Amid Middle East and Eastern European turmoil, higher interest rates and domestic union strikes, the S&P still managed…

Macro & Market Perspectives

2025 Predictions

After two consecutive years of outsized returns, it remains to be seen what U.S. stocks can deliver in 2025. The easy-money bet would be for increased volatility and lower returns in the upcoming year. However, you…

Macro & Market Perspectives

2024 Key Takeaways

THE FEDERAL RESERVE It has been so long since the Federal Reserve had a “normal” easing cycle that many investors seem to have forgotten an important distinction: the Fed only cuts the overnight rate, not all…

Macro & Market Perspectives

State of the Economy

FIRST: REVIEWING THE PATH TO 2024 Toward the end of 2023, I participated in a podcast with a nationally recognized economist about the prospects for the upcoming year. His forecast for the first half of 2024…